Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000698 0.000792 0.000892 0.001006 0.001130 0.001263 0.001414
2025-09-21 0.000542 0.000672 0.000819 0.000996 0.001203 0.001435 0.001715
2025-09-28 0.000451 0.000595 0.000765 0.000979 0.001238 0.001540 0.001915
2025-10-05 0.000403 0.000560 0.000754 0.001005 0.001320 0.001696 0.002176
2025-10-12 0.000363 0.000529 0.000741 0.001024 0.001388 0.001835 0.002416
2025-10-19 0.000320 0.000488 0.000709 0.001015 0.001418 0.001923 0.002595
2025-10-26 0.000281 0.000449 0.000677 0.001001 0.001438 0.001997 0.002755
2025-11-02 0.000257 0.000427 0.000665 0.001011 0.001488 0.002110 0.002964
2025-11-09 0.000233 0.000403 0.000648 0.001012 0.001525 0.002203 0.003151
2025-11-16 0.000203 0.000367 0.000610 0.000981 0.001515 0.002234 0.003252
2025-11-23 0.000177 0.000335 0.000576 0.000954 0.001507 0.002265 0.003354
2025-11-30 0.000161 0.000317 0.000561 0.000951 0.001532 0.002341 0.003519
2025-12-07 0.000147 0.000300 0.000547 0.000951 0.001563 0.002427 0.003698
2025-12-14 0.000132 0.000281 0.000528 0.000941 0.001578 0.002490 0.003848
2025-12-21 0.000117 0.000261 0.000506 0.000924 0.001582 0.002535 0.003974
2025-12-28 0.000112 0.000257 0.000510 0.000949 0.001649 0.002674 0.004235
2026-01-04 0.000105 0.000251 0.000510 0.000967 0.001705 0.002798 0.004476
2026-01-11 0.000095 0.000236 0.000495 0.000958 0.001719 0.002860 0.004628
2026-01-18 0.000086 0.000222 0.000477 0.000945 0.001725 0.002909 0.004762
2026-01-25 0.000080 0.000215 0.000473 0.000955 0.001768 0.003014 0.004979
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000205 0.000465 0.000956 0.001796 0.003096 0.005165
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000188 0.000440 0.000926 0.001772 0.003099 0.005231
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000173 0.000417 0.000900 0.001753 0.003106 0.005303